Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 54.256270 61.784884 69.574599 78.205478 87.470227 97.088008 107.798220
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 41.706056 52.184293 63.621718 76.904235 91.781074 107.815467 126.290672
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 34.920496 46.971444 60.660095 77.093659 96.034546 116.951137 141.570501
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 29.838943 42.906593 58.291556 77.298145 99.733405 125.000222 155.243555
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 26.080882 39.905222 56.719557 78.019302 103.676024 133.045123 168.681564
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 22.230012 36.325336 54.056455 77.086969 105.380017 138.271906 178.694528
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 19.933612 34.498542 53.354900 78.358902 109.567659 146.295705 191.882625
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 18.104060 33.094490 53.029650 79.964785 114.060849 154.617912 205.389913
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 15.617494 30.499311 50.927546 79.129028 115.396977 159.049645 214.209324
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 13.058810 27.509602 48.061378 77.100320 115.073368 161.341099 220.366309
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 12.392793 27.330283 49.023932 80.088606 121.094698 171.399430 235.913295
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 11.501791 26.696775 49.277479 82.079721 125.812970 179.847554 249.525065
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.820763 24.609785 47.338794 81.037844 126.597041 183.445252 257.301976
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.318893 22.636240 45.427063 79.922834 127.206874 186.777638 264.733344
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.293308 21.373180 44.485536 80.086179 129.447990 192.129745 274.640816
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.392729 20.219672 43.626209 80.299904 131.710881 197.484350 284.544533
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.692190 19.359198 43.163492 81.037633 134.650728 203.692543 295.519226
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.765385 17.882488 41.600224 80.083151 135.226820 206.819117 302.602880
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.314586 17.364589 41.578204 81.385384 138.888002 213.940400 314.739607
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.957442 17.006018 41.794863 83.029273 143.018899 221.682656 327.686302
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.283293 15.763469 40.406591 82.173774 143.621786 224.784103 334.722688
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.549839 14.178576 38.289312 80.096810 142.430452 225.469162 338.632794
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.484984 14.405913 39.455416 83.156012 148.541609 235.840665 354.997530